A friend posted about Winds of Winter not coming in 2015.
Back in 2011, I posted about George R. R. Martin and the question “whether GRRMÂ has the time to finish the books before the HBO TV series catches up to him.” He had estimated the TV series will take multiple seasons for some books. Let’s compare his prediction with the reality so far.
| Book | Between Publishing | TV ETA | TV Real |
|---|---|---|---|
| One (Game of Thrones) | N/A | 2011 | 2011 |
| Two (Clash of Kings) | 2 years | 2012 | 2012 |
| Three (Storm of Swords) | 2 years | 2013 / 2014 | 2013 / 2014 |
| Four (Feast for Crows) and Five (Dance With Dragons) |
11 years | 2015 / 2016 (/ maybe 2017) |
2015 (rest not yet announced) |
That looks pretty spot on through 2015. Season four starts April 12rh. Based on the leaked GoT trailer, they do recombine books 4 and 5. Combined they are a monstrous almost 2k pages. GRRM also claimed 2-3 seasons for the recombined Feast and Dance books. Three seems more likely given the 1200 page Storm took two, 1800 page Feast/Dance should be about three.
Ideally Winds would come out well prior to the HBO season covering it, giving us a chance to read it first. So ideally 2016 but it could be 2018 or later. 🙁
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